Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 00:00:00+00:00 15.900579 18.531623 21.414019 24.799610 28.660486 32.919125 37.965039
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 12.205140 15.958657 20.500027 26.365713 33.704107 42.541430 53.945211
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 10.276885 14.699636 20.476915 28.496153 39.245128 53.048595 71.990070
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 8.369923 12.939746 19.314671 28.719088 42.070564 60.146197 86.220594
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 6.818693 11.307962 17.950035 28.290618 43.726966 65.600527 98.530334
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 5.548696 9.824737 16.505552 27.432125 44.501942 69.699953 109.102494
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 4.726703 8.884102 15.707675 27.371518 46.342690 75.372262 122.294406
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 4.113033 8.174020 15.151142 27.571438 48.528682 81.656100 136.817188
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 3.319893 6.998787 13.630461 25.945399 47.527770 82.797594 143.329716
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 3.027900 6.703432 13.596558 26.846778 50.793003 90.988132 161.663668
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 2.839853 6.577057 13.844548 28.259950 55.045022 101.099331 183.847011
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.435273 5.935162 13.024270 27.587394 55.492387 104.760513 195.406604
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.991005 5.148939 11.853678 26.191377 54.642147 106.399318 204.194479
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.886654 5.114143 12.225449 27.917371 59.911977 119.474507 234.340810
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.830132 5.181958 12.823815 30.177645 66.444807 135.385291 270.806470
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.626525 4.846423 12.484916 30.415967 68.966031 144.013239 294.546698
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.406579 4.420259 11.870089 29.965431 70.011616 149.882713 313.519800
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.193519 3.962745 11.103542 29.061316 69.983340 153.612304 328.615225
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.054973 3.683241 10.725269 28.997502 71.740989 161.005238 351.338711
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.946967 3.469092 10.477517 29.208099 74.114695 169.813922 377.463133
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.773909 3.008767 9.502854 27.495026 71.934291 168.973314 383.983521
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.724189 2.937684 9.577077 28.444718 76.028500 181.714618 419.314401
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.696471 2.935634 9.845948 29.933309 81.540291 197.898221 462.866917